Mavrik Bourque vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.2% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bourque 58.7%
Defensive zone
Bourque 62.8%
Neutral zone
Bourque 63.0%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Bourque
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Bourque
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Bourque
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Bourque
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (513)
49.1% (632)
-2.5%
Power Play
26.1% (23)
28.6% (7)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
45.5% (66)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Bourque is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Bourque shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Bourque
Ostapchuk
Home
47.1% (263)
48.6% (329)
Away
44.2% (301)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Bourque
Ostapchuk
P1
42.7%
48.5%
P2
42.8%
46.4%
P3
50.2%
50.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |