Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Domi 50.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 62.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 54.4%
Neutral zone
Domi 51.3%
Result
Max Domi favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
McDavid
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
McDavid
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
49.8% (297)
-2.1%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
60.0% (30)
-10.7%
On power play, Domi has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
McDavid
Domi
Home
50.0% (412)
51.1% (184)
Away
45.7% (394)
50.3% (143)
By Period
McDavid
Domi
P1
48.0%
45.9%
P2
48.5%
51.8%
P3
47.1%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Max Domi |