Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Barzal wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Domi 48.8% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 86.0%
Defensive zone
Domi 79.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 83.8%
Result
Max Domi favored at 82.7%
17.3%
82.7%
Barzal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Barzal
Domi
Last 10: Barzal 6-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
1
Barzal
Domi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
7
1
Barzal
Domi
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
3
5
Barzal
Domi
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,571)
48.1% (4,339)
-6.2%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
53.5% (636)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
48.8% (41)
-6.5%
On power play, Domi has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Barzal shoots right. Domi is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,646).
Home / Away
Barzal
Domi
Home
43.2% (1,901)
49.8% (2,614)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
47.8% (2,402)
By Period
Barzal
Domi
P1
40.6%
48.7%
P2
44.6%
48.3%
P3
41.1%
49.7%
OT
27.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 05:20 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |