Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Domi wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.6% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 52.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.7%
Neutral zone
Domi 50.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Domi
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Domi
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
53.3% (807)
-3.5%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
47.6% (42)
+12.4%
On power play, Domi has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Domi is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Domi shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Domi
Zibanejad
Home
51.1% (184)
49.8% (466)
Away
50.3% (143)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Domi
Zibanejad
P1
45.9%
52.9%
P2
51.8%
51.2%
P3
55.1%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |