Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.6% vs Backlund 49.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 69.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Domi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Domi
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Domi
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
50.5% (944)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
51.5% (66)
+8.5%
On power play, Domi has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Domi shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Domi
Backlund
Home
51.1% (184)
48.1% (636)
Away
50.3% (143)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Domi
Backlund
P1
45.9%
45.4%
P2
51.8%
54.1%
P3
55.1%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
39.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |