Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Foligno 48.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 52.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Domi
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Domi
Foligno
Last 5: Domi 4-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
2
0
Domi
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
48.3% (2,840)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
52.3% (731)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
44.0% (457)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Domi shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,512).
Home / Away
Domi
Foligno
Home
49.8% (2,614)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Domi
Foligno
P1
48.7%
47.8%
P2
48.3%
50.5%
P3
49.7%
48.2%
OT
43.5%
29.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |