Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.6% vs Sturm 53.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 60.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 82.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 57.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Domi
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Domi
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
54.6% (271)
-4.8%
On even strength, Sturm has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Domi shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Domi
Sturm
Home
51.1% (184)
53.0% (168)
Away
50.3% (143)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Domi
Sturm
P1
45.9%
58.2%
P2
51.8%
53.2%
P3
55.1%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Max Domi |