Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.2%). Look for Domi on defensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Zacha 49.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 52.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 57.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Domi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Domi
Zacha
Last 10: Domi 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
5
4
Domi
Zacha
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
7
5
Domi
Zacha
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Domi
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
48.9% (5,156)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
55.7% (813)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
42.2% (557)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Domi shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Domi
Zacha
Home
49.8% (2,614)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Domi
Zacha
P1
48.7%
49.9%
P2
48.3%
49.2%
P3
49.7%
48.2%
OT
43.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Max Domi |