Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.5%). Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Domi wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Nash 48.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 65.1%
Defensive zone
Nash 64.2%
Neutral zone
Nash 51.6%
Result
Max Domi favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Domi
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Domi
Nash
Last 8: Domi 4-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
3
1
Domi
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Domi
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
48.7% (4,621)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
51.0% (249)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
44.9% (550)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Domi is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,646).
Domi shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Domi
Nash
Home
49.8% (2,614)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Domi
Nash
P1
48.7%
49.0%
P2
48.3%
47.9%
P3
49.7%
48.0%
OT
43.5%
68.4%
Final 5 min
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Max Domi |