Max Domi vs Ryan O'Reilly

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Domi 50.6% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone O'Reilly 54.4%
Defensive zone O'Reilly 50.1%
Neutral zone Domi 50.4%
Result Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Domi O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Domi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
55.7% (856)
-5.9%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
57.5% (233)
+2.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +5.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Domi shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Domi
O'Reilly
Home
51.1% (184)
55.5% (616)
Away
50.3% (143)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Domi
O'Reilly
P1
45.9%
58.1%
P2
51.8%
54.9%
P3
55.1%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
56.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%
51.0%
50.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%
55.0%
55.4%