Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.2%). Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Poehling 48.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 79.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 74.3%
Neutral zone
Domi 53.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Domi
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Domi
Poehling
Last 10: Domi 4-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
5
2
Domi
Poehling
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
10
Domi
Poehling
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
3
1
Domi
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
49.6% (2,780)
-1.5%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
51.6% (93)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
41.7% (635)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Domi shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
Domi
Poehling
Home
49.8% (2,614)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Domi
Poehling
P1
48.7%
50.8%
P2
48.3%
47.1%
P3
49.7%
47.2%
OT
43.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |