Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Monahan 51.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 21-11 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 59.8%
Defensive zone
Domi 62.3%
Neutral zone
Domi 61.5%
Result
Max Domi favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Domi
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
21
(32 meetings)
11
21
Domi
Monahan
Last 10: Domi 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
8
Domi
Monahan
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
5
Domi
Monahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
8
Domi
Monahan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
51.1% (11,407)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
53.6% (2,582)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
45.9% (772)
+2.9%
On even strength, Monahan has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Domi shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Domi
Monahan
Home
49.8% (2,614)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Domi
Monahan
P1
48.7%
51.0%
P2
48.3%
51.7%
P3
49.7%
51.0%
OT
43.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Max Domi |