Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (52% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Hertl 54.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 63.8%
Defensive zone
Domi 64.9%
Neutral zone
Domi 65.8%
Result
Max Domi favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Domi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
26
(49 meetings)
23
26
Domi
Hertl
Last 10: Domi 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
10
11
Domi
Hertl
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
9
10
Domi
Hertl
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
5
Domi
Hertl
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
53.9% (8,303)
-5.8%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
59.2% (1,995)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
46.3% (806)
+2.5%
On even strength, Hertl has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Domi shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Domi
Hertl
Home
49.8% (2,614)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Domi
Hertl
P1
48.7%
53.6%
P2
48.3%
54.2%
P3
49.7%
55.3%
OT
43.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Max Domi |