Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.7%). Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Domi wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Johnson 49.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 52.5%
Defensive zone
Johnson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Domi
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Domi
Johnson
Last 10: Domi 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
5
2
Domi
Johnson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Domi
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
4
2
Domi
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
49.8% (5,396)
-1.7%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
54.6% (885)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
42.3% (707)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Domi is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,646).
Domi shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Domi
Johnson
Home
49.8% (2,614)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Domi
Johnson
P1
48.7%
50.1%
P2
48.3%
50.6%
P3
49.7%
48.4%
OT
43.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 10:09 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Max Domi |