Max Pacioretty vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Pacioretty wins 39.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pacioretty 46.4% vs MacKinnon 46.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pacioretty 67.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 74.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Pacioretty
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pacioretty
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pacioretty
1
0
Pacioretty
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Pacioretty
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pacioretty
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (243)
46.0% (11,051)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.5% (97)
53.2% (1,394)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
42.9% (499)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Pacioretty has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Pacioretty is 39.9% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Pacioretty shoots left. MacKinnon is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,367).
Home / Away
Pacioretty
MacKinnon
Home
46.6% (174)
49.6% (6,342)
Away
44.1% (170)
43.9% (6,603)
By Period
Pacioretty
MacKinnon
P1
47.2%
47.4%
P2
47.0%
46.5%
P3
41.6%
45.9%
OT
40.0%
47.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pacioretty
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Max Pacioretty |