Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pacioretty 50.5% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 59.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 60.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (10)
56.2% (983)
-6.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.5% (254)
+44.5%
On power play, Pacioretty has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pacioretty is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Pacioretty shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Home
80.0% (5)
56.2% (697)
Away
33.3% (6)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
P1
66.7%
54.5%
P2
50.0%
55.5%
P3
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
100.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pacioretty
40.0%▼
48.0%
54.5%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%