Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.2% vs 41.5%). Sasson wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sasson 43.8% vs Marner 42.7% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Marner 56.1%
Defensive zone
Sasson 50.1%
Neutral zone
Marner 52.8%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Sasson
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sasson
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (374)
41.7% (496)
+0.5%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
55.6% (18)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
35.4% (65)
-35.4%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Sasson is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Sasson shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Sasson
Marner
Home
38.8% (160)
38.0% (321)
Away
44.5% (236)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Sasson
Marner
P1
43.8%
38.7%
P2
38.8%
41.5%
P3
44.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.2%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%