Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sasson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sasson 46.2% vs Roy 47.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sasson 63.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.5%
Neutral zone
Sasson 55.1%
Result
Max Sasson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Sasson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Sasson
Roy
Last 7: Sasson 2-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Sasson
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sasson
2
1
Sasson
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Sasson
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sasson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (108)
48.6% (679)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
34.7% (49)
-34.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Sasson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Sasson shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Sasson
Roy
Home
44.1% (59)
49.3% (345)
Away
41.2% (51)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Sasson
Roy
P1
48.7%
47.6%
P2
40.5%
47.1%
P3
37.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
40.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sasson
46.0%▲
43.0%
42.7%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Max Sasson |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Max Sasson |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |