Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Sasson wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sasson 44.0% vs Gourde 46.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sasson 73.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 61.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.2%
Result
Max Sasson favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Sasson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sasson
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Sasson
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sasson
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sasson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (266)
47.2% (687)
-5.5%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
45.0% (20)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.0% (88)
-33.0%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Sasson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Sasson shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Sasson
Gourde
Home
35.6% (101)
44.4% (356)
Away
45.4% (185)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Sasson
Gourde
P1
41.5%
42.2%
P2
38.1%
50.0%
P3
46.5%
44.5%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.0%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Sasson |