Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Talbot wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Monahan 51.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 88.3%
Defensive zone
Talbot 50.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 67.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Talbot
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Talbot
Monahan
Last 6: Talbot 4-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
1
Talbot
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
51.1% (11,407)
-2.8%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
53.6% (2,582)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
45.9% (772)
-3.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Talbot shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Talbot
Monahan
Home
48.0% (1,219)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Talbot
Monahan
P1
48.7%
51.0%
P2
43.5%
51.7%
P3
48.6%
51.0%
OT
45.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |