Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.7%). Lapierre wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 75.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.7%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Lapierre
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
52.3% (6,036)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
56.1% (164)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
44.1% (1,638)
-1.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Lapierre shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Dowd
Home
53.0% (1,250)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Lapierre
Dowd
P1
52.5%
51.5%
P2
50.7%
50.4%
P3
51.1%
50.3%
OT
41.7%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%