Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.5%). Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lapierre wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Brouwer 50.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 85.9%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 63.6%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 67.4%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Lapierre
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lapierre
Brouwer
Last 6: Lapierre 1-5 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
4
Lapierre
Brouwer
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Brouwer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
1
Lapierre
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
50.3% (702)
+2.6%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
53.7% (551)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
46.6% (412)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Brouwer has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Lapierre shoots right. Brouwer is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Brouwer
Home
53.0% (1,250)
53.5% (854)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Lapierre
Brouwer
P1
52.5%
51.4%
P2
50.7%
49.3%
P3
51.1%
51.2%
OT
41.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2015 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |