Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lapierre wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.6% vs Seguin 42.6% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 74.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 59.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 69.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Lapierre
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lapierre
Seguin
Last 6: Lapierre 2-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Lapierre
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Lapierre
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (527)
41.1% (649)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
25.0% (4)
+6.8%
On even strength, Lapierre has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lapierre is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Lapierre shoots right. Seguin is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Seguin
Home
51.8% (309)
44.4% (338)
Away
49.6% (284)
38.6% (339)
By Period
Lapierre
Seguin
P1
51.0%
37.8%
P2
57.2%
45.5%
P3
44.1%
41.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |