Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lapierre wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 68.3%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 77.5%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 53.6%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Lapierre
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lapierre
Seguin
Last 6: Lapierre 2-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Lapierre
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Lapierre
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
53.7% (8,071)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
55.9% (810)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
49.3% (762)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Lapierre shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Seguin
Home
53.0% (1,250)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Lapierre
Seguin
P1
52.5%
52.8%
P2
50.7%
53.3%
P3
51.1%
54.7%
OT
41.7%
54.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |