Michael Amadio vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 47.4% vs McCarron 52.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 54.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 90.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 73.7%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Amadio
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Amadio
McCarron
Last 8: Amadio 6-2 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
2
0
Amadio
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Amadio
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
3
1
Amadio
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,363)
53.3% (2,926)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
45.3% (86)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (24)
50.1% (469)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Amadio is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Amadio shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Amadio
McCarron
Home
47.3% (656)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
47.2% (788)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Amadio
McCarron
P1
50.5%
53.8%
P2
44.8%
52.3%
P3
46.6%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.2%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |