Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 47.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Amadio leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Amadio 72.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 95.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 77.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Amadio
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Amadio
Dowd
Last 10: Amadio 8-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
9
1
Amadio
Dowd
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Amadio
Dowd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Amadio
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,363)
52.3% (6,036)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
56.1% (164)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (24)
44.1% (1,638)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Amadio is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Amadio shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Home / Away
Amadio
Dowd
Home
47.3% (656)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
47.2% (788)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Amadio
Dowd
P1
50.5%
51.5%
P2
44.8%
50.4%
P3
46.6%
50.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.2%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 08:40 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |