Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 48.3% vs Sturm 53.6% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 70.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 69.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.7%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Amadio
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Amadio
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Amadio
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (14)
54.6% (271)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
54.4% (90)
-54.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +54.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Amadio is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Amadio shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Amadio
Sturm
Home
50.0% (6)
53.0% (168)
Away
33.3% (12)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Amadio
Sturm
P1
42.9%
58.2%
P2
33.3%
53.2%
P3
40.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
38.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |