Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 48.3% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 50.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.7%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Amadio
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Amadio
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Amadio
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (14)
55.7% (856)
-5.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.5% (233)
-57.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
50.0% (144)
-50.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Amadio is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Amadio shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Amadio
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (6)
55.5% (616)
Away
33.3% (12)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Amadio
O'Reilly
P1
42.9%
58.1%
P2
33.3%
54.9%
P3
40.0%
53.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
38.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |