Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Amadio wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 47.4% vs Hertl 54.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 57.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 54.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 58.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Amadio
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Amadio
Hertl
Last 10: Amadio 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
5
3
Amadio
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Amadio
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
5
Amadio
Hertl
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,363)
53.9% (8,303)
-6.6%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
59.2% (1,995)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (24)
46.3% (806)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Amadio is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,046).
Amadio shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Amadio
Hertl
Home
47.3% (656)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
47.2% (788)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Amadio
Hertl
P1
50.5%
53.6%
P2
44.8%
54.2%
P3
46.6%
55.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.2%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |