Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 50.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 54.2%
Defensive zone
Chaput 57.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.3%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Chaput
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Chaput
Dowd
Last 5: Chaput 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Chaput
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Chaput
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
52.3% (6,036)
-0.1%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
56.1% (164)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
44.1% (1,638)
-1.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Chaput is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Chaput shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Chaput
Dowd
Home
53.5% (602)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
49.8% (650)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Chaput
Dowd
P1
48.6%
51.5%
P2
51.6%
50.4%
P3
54.5%
50.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |