Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.2%). Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Chaput wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Monahan 51.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Chaput leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.1%
Defensive zone
Chaput 68.8%
Neutral zone
Chaput 52.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Chaput
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Chaput
Monahan
Last 10: Chaput 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Chaput
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
2
1
Chaput
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
3
1
Chaput
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
51.1% (11,407)
+1.1%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
53.6% (2,582)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
45.9% (772)
-3.0%
On power play, Monahan has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Chaput shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Chaput
Monahan
Home
53.5% (602)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
49.8% (650)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Chaput
Monahan
P1
48.6%
51.0%
P2
51.6%
51.7%
P3
54.5%
51.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |