Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frolik 44.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frolik 75.8%
Defensive zone
Frolik 52.1%
Neutral zone
Frolik 68.6%
Result
Michael Frolik favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Frolik
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Frolik
Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Frolik
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frolik
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Frolik
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frolik
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (409)
56.4% (8,095)
-10.4%
Power Play
25.0% (36)
60.7% (1,437)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (51)
50.5% (1,908)
-21.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Frolik is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Frolik shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Frolik
Kesler
Home
45.8% (253)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
39.5% (243)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Frolik
Kesler
P1
44.8%
56.5%
P2
41.5%
55.9%
P3
41.9%
56.1%
OT
42.9%
46.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frolik
32.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Michael Frolik |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |