Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.9% vs Kadri 47.7% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 85.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 61.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 58.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
McCarron
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
McCarron
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
McCarron
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
62.8% (86)
46.2% (1,005)
+16.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.3% (199)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
26.7% (30)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
McCarron shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kadri
Home
59.5% (42)
47.4% (641)
Away
59.4% (64)
47.6% (593)
By Period
McCarron
Kadri
P1
71.0%
46.9%
P2
48.7%
49.5%
P3
61.1%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
59.4%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |