Michael McCarron vs Nick Bjugstad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 58.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
McCarron
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McCarron
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
49.7% (292)
+3.1%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
50.0% (6)
-31.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
47.2% (36)
+5.4%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McCarron is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (274).
McCarron shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
McCarron
Bjugstad
Home
52.8% (477)
48.7% (193)
Away
51.8% (442)
50.4% (141)
By Period
McCarron
Bjugstad
P1
56.2%
41.5%
P2
52.4%
57.3%
P3
48.7%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |