Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Acciari 53.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 81.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 57.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 57.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
McCarron
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McCarron
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
McCarron
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
55.6% (426)
-1.1%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
0.0% (2)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
52.1% (146)
-16.8%
On power play, McCarron has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
McCarron shoots right. Acciari is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
McCarron
Acciari
Home
52.2% (339)
55.2% (306)
Away
54.2% (332)
53.7% (268)
By Period
McCarron
Acciari
P1
53.5%
55.5%
P2
50.6%
54.3%
P3
55.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
45.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
53.2%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |