Michael McCarron vs Patrick Brown
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Brown 54.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 54.1%
Defensive zone
Brown 52.2%
Neutral zone
Brown 52.8%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
McCarron
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McCarron
Brown
Last 7: McCarron 3-4 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
McCarron
Brown
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
56.5% (726)
-3.2%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
62.5% (8)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
47.8% (136)
+2.3%
On power play, Brown has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
McCarron shoots right. Brown is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
McCarron
Brown
Home
52.3% (1,696)
57.4% (364)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
53.6% (506)
By Period
McCarron
Brown
P1
53.8%
51.4%
P2
52.3%
54.6%
P3
51.9%
58.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |