Michael McCarron vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Danault 54.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 86.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 58.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 70.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
McCarron
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McCarron
Danault
Last 6: McCarron 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
1
McCarron
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
56.2% (745)
-3.4%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
45.1% (51)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
51.6% (124)
+1.0%
On power play, Danault has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
McCarron shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
McCarron
Danault
Home
52.8% (477)
56.7% (402)
Away
51.8% (442)
53.7% (518)
By Period
McCarron
Danault
P1
56.2%
55.5%
P2
52.4%
54.2%
P3
48.7%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |