Michael McCarron vs Phillip Danault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.2%). Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Danault 53.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 77.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 56.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 61.4%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
McCarron
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
McCarron
Danault
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
McCarron
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
2
McCarron
Danault
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
53.6% (9,481)
-0.3%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
61.3% (758)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
47.4% (1,710)
+2.7%
On power play, Danault has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
McCarron shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,047).
Home / Away
McCarron
Danault
Home
52.3% (1,696)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
McCarron
Danault
P1
53.8%
53.7%
P2
52.3%
53.4%
P3
51.9%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
49.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |