Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs McLeod 47.4% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 76.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 56.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
McCarron
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McCarron
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
McCarron
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
49.0% (827)
+3.8%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
44.0% (91)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
43.0% (272)
+9.6%
On power play, McLeod has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
McCarron shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
McCarron
McLeod
Home
52.8% (477)
48.5% (619)
Away
51.8% (442)
45.9% (571)
By Period
McCarron
McLeod
P1
56.2%
52.7%
P2
52.4%
43.9%
P3
48.7%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |