Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Bennett 48.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 73.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 91.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 65.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
McCarron
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
McCarron
Bennett
Last 10: McCarron 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
McCarron
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
7
2
McCarron
Bennett
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
2
McCarron
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
46.4% (811)
+6.4%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
56.9% (153)
-38.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
47.8% (46)
+4.8%
On power play, Bennett has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
McCarron shoots right. Bennett is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
McCarron
Bennett
Home
52.8% (477)
49.9% (553)
Away
51.8% (442)
45.7% (457)
By Period
McCarron
Bennett
P1
56.2%
47.4%
P2
52.4%
46.8%
P3
48.7%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |