Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Gagner 46.0% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 79.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 85.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 59.8%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
McCarron
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McCarron
Gagner
Last 7: McCarron 4-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McCarron
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
45.4% (4,699)
+7.9%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
51.5% (928)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
35.0% (226)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
McCarron shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
McCarron
Gagner
Home
52.3% (1,696)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
McCarron
Gagner
P1
53.8%
44.6%
P2
52.3%
46.1%
P3
51.9%
47.3%
OT
33.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |