Michael McCarron vs Sidney Crosby
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Crosby 55.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 77.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 90.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 56.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
McCarron
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McCarron
Crosby
Last 6: McCarron 1-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
McCarron
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
53.3% (1,025)
-0.5%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
64.7% (249)
-46.5%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
60.0% (15)
-7.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
McCarron shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
McCarron
Crosby
Home
52.8% (477)
56.9% (675)
Away
51.8% (442)
54.1% (614)
By Period
McCarron
Crosby
P1
56.2%
55.1%
P2
52.4%
53.1%
P3
48.7%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |