Michael McCarron vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Nosek 53.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 53.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 70.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 62.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
McCarron
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
McCarron
Nosek
Last 10: McCarron 0-10 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
McCarron
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
McCarron
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
6
7
McCarron
Nosek
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
54.9% (2,710)
-1.6%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
45.8% (48)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
47.2% (428)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
McCarron shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
McCarron
Nosek
Home
52.3% (1,696)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
McCarron
Nosek
P1
53.8%
52.2%
P2
52.3%
54.1%
P3
51.9%
54.7%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |