Who wins more faceoffs, Michael McCarron or Trevor Zegras?

Michael McCarron leads the head-to-head 7-2 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Michael McCarron's faceoff record against Trevor Zegras?

Michael McCarron is 7-2 against Trevor Zegras in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-2, Defensive 6-0, Neutral 1-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Michael McCarron or Trevor Zegras?

Michael McCarron is the predicted winner with a 86.7% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Michael McCarron vs Trevor Zegras

Michael McCarronR vs Trevor ZegrasL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Michael McCarron holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCarron 52.6% vs Zegras 39.5% (+13.8%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone McCarron 52.4%

Defensive zone McCarron 97.5%

Neutral zone McCarron 90.6%

Result Michael McCarron favored at 86.7%

86.7%

13.3%

McCarron Zegras

Head-to-Head Record

7 - 2 (9 meetings)

McCarron Zegras

Last 9: McCarron 7-2 Zegras

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Zegras

McCarron Zegras

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: McCarron

McCarron Zegras

6 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: McCarron

McCarron Zegras

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McCarron

Zegras

Edge

Even Strength

53.3% (2,926)

39.0% (1,703)

+14.3%

Power Play

45.3% (86)

38.5% (148)

+6.8%

Penalty Kill

50.1% (469)

25.0% (8)

+25.1%

On penalty kill, McCarron has a +25.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Zegras shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).

McCarron shoots right. Zegras is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (605).

Home / Away

McCarron

Zegras

Home

52.3% (1,696)

40.5% (908)

Away

53.1% (1,785)

37.3% (951)

By Period

McCarron

Zegras

53.8%

40.0%

52.3%

38.6%

51.9%

38.2%

33.3%

31.6%

Final 5 min

50.4%

40.1%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McCarron

38.0%▼

49.0%

52.7%

Zegras

42.0%▲

28.0%

38.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 12, 2026	1	17:46	Neutral	Michael McCarron
Mar 12, 2026	1	10:52	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Nov 6, 2025	3	02:03	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Nov 6, 2025	2	16:49	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Nov 6, 2025	2	03:34	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Oct 30, 2025	3	08:50	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Oct 30, 2025	2	02:59	Offensive	Trevor Zegras
Nov 22, 2021	3	05:03	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Nov 22, 2021	3	02:01	Offensive	Trevor Zegras

McCarron's Profile | Zegras's Profile