Michael McCarron vs Tyler Seguin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.6%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCarron wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 72.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 73.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.7%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
McCarron
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
McCarron
Seguin
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
McCarron
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
McCarron
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
5
McCarron
Seguin
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
53.7% (8,071)
-0.4%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
55.9% (810)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
49.3% (762)
+0.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
McCarron shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
McCarron
Seguin
Home
52.3% (1,696)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
McCarron
Seguin
P1
53.8%
52.8%
P2
52.3%
53.3%
P3
51.9%
54.7%
OT
33.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |