Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Kozak 49.7% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Kozak 57.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 56.1%
Neutral zone
Kozak 52.4%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
McCarron
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
49.3% (294)
+3.5%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
60.0% (5)
-41.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
50.0% (40)
+2.6%
On power play, Kozak has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
McCarron shoots right. Kozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kozak
Home
52.8% (477)
45.5% (145)
Away
51.8% (442)
52.6% (194)
By Period
McCarron
Kozak
P1
56.2%
53.4%
P2
52.4%
50.0%
P3
48.7%
44.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%