Michael McCarron vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 70.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 82.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 63.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
McCarron
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
McCarron
Trocheck
Last 10: McCarron 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
6
McCarron
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
1
McCarron
Trocheck
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
58.0% (666)
-5.2%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
64.8% (165)
-46.6%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
43.4% (152)
+9.2%
On power play, Trocheck has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McCarron is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (274).
McCarron shoots right. Trocheck is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
McCarron
Trocheck
Home
52.8% (477)
55.3% (436)
Away
51.8% (442)
58.1% (547)
By Period
McCarron
Trocheck
P1
56.2%
56.4%
P2
52.4%
58.7%
P3
48.7%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |