Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). McLeod wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 25-19 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowd 64.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 72.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
McLeod
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
25
(44 meetings)
19
25
McLeod
Dowd
Last 10: McLeod 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
5
McLeod
Dowd
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
9
McLeod
Dowd
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
10
11
McLeod
Dowd
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
52.3% (6,036)
+6.9%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
56.1% (164)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
44.1% (1,638)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,063).
McLeod shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Home / Away
McLeod
Dowd
Home
58.2% (1,647)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
McLeod
Dowd
P1
58.7%
51.5%
P2
59.9%
50.4%
P3
56.3%
50.3%
OT
63.6%
45.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |