Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). McLeod wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Roy 48.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 77.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 81.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 86.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
McLeod
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
McLeod
Roy
Last 10: McLeod 1-9 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
6
McLeod
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
4
McLeod
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
48.9% (3,621)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
49.3% (276)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
44.9% (463)
+8.6%
On even strength, McLeod has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McLeod is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,063).
McLeod shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,152).
Home / Away
McLeod
Roy
Home
58.2% (1,647)
49.5% (2,186)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
47.4% (2,174)
By Period
McLeod
Roy
P1
58.7%
51.0%
P2
59.9%
46.1%
P3
56.3%
48.3%
OT
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |