Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Misa wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Misa 45.1% vs Frost 50.5% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Misa 63.5%
Defensive zone
Misa 87.1%
Neutral zone
Misa 73.5%
Result
Michael Misa favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Misa
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Misa
Frost
Last 8: Misa 2-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
4
Misa
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Misa
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Misa
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (247)
49.6% (3,642)
-5.9%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
55.5% (631)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
55.0% (40)
-55.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Misa is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Misa shoots left. Frost is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,832).
Home / Away
Misa
Frost
Home
52.3% (107)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
36.8% (152)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Misa
Frost
P1
41.0%
51.1%
P2
41.3%
51.3%
P3
48.6%
48.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Misa
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.2%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |